Finance
Session: The 15th Riigikogu, 6th Session, Information Hour
Date: 2025-10-15 15:14
Participating Politicians:
Total Speeches: 18
Membership: 15
Agenda Duration: 12m
AI Summaries: 18/18 Speeches (100.0%)
Analysis: Structured Analysis
Politicians Speaking Time
Politicians
Analysis
Summary
The second question of the Riigikogu information session concerned the government's fiscal policy and state budget strategy. Riigikogu member Urmas Reinsalu (Isamaa) presented sharp criticism to Prime Minister Kristen Michal regarding the planned budget deficit, which is set to reach 4.5% of GDP for several years. Reinsalu quoted the warning from the Fiscal Council that this constitutes a historically large shortfall, which will lead the state into "unmanageable financial flows" and bring about uncertain risks for new tax increases. He asked how the government plans to reach the -1% deficit stipulated in the long-term sustainability assessment, and criticized the fact that the European Commission's granted exception for national defense expenditures (1.5%) is being used with borrowed money to service the Reform Party's "tax hump" project, rather than for real-time cost cutting.
Prime Minister Michal acknowledged the existence of the deficit but emphasized that it is largely due to essential national defense expenditures (which are growing to 5% of GDP). She explained that acute crises are often responded to by borrowing, and the deficit will begin to fall after peaking at 4.5% (with forecasts of 3.8% and 3.6%). Michal defended the government's policy, stressing that the budget is being tightened through cost cutting, citing the €1.4 billion in cuts already made and promising additional cuts in the coming years. She rejected Reinsalu's claims about the tax hump, noting that the previous coalition (including Isamaa) was the creator of this progressive income tax structure, and that abolishing the tax hump will lead to a decrease in the tax burden and leave the average wage earner with about €1800 more per year. In a supplementary question, Mart Maastik (Isamaa) criticized the expenditure of €100,000 on a study commissioned by the Ministry of Climate regarding the health effects of wind turbines, the results of which, he claimed, were available via ChatGPT. Prime Minister Michal defended the work of the scientists, accusing the questioner of attacking researchers.
Decisions Made 1
No decisions were made
Most Active Speaker
Urmas Reinsalu (Conservative) was highly active, posing sharp and repeated questions concerning the government's fiscal policy and the trajectory of the deficit, demanding clarification on the methods of budget cuts and the financing of the so-called 'tax hump.' Prime Minister Kristen Michal (Reform Party) responded in detail, defending the government's budget strategy and rejecting accusations regarding the authorship of the tax hump.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
Chairman Lauri Hussar announced that the second item on the agenda concerns finance, which will be presented to Prime Minister Kristen Michal by Riigikogu member Urmas Reinsalu, and asked Reinsalu to take the floor.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
During the Riigikogu session, the proceedings moved on to the second item on the agenda, which was directed specifically at Prime Minister Kristen Michal. This constitutes a procedural stage of parliamentary work where the head of government is required to respond to inquiries (interpellations) submitted by Riigikogu members and clarify the government's political standpoints. The specific question was put forward by Riigikogu member Urmas Reinsalu. The issue he is raising is significant and concerns the nation's public finances. This signals an upcoming debate focused on Estonia’s economic policy and budgetary matters, demanding explanations from the Prime Minister regarding the government's financial strategy and its management of the budget deficit. Following the introduction and definition of the topic, Urmas Reinsalu was given the floor to present his question to the Prime Minister, thereby initiating a substantive debate in the parliamentary chamber concerning the state's financial condition.
Urmas Reinsalu
Profiling Isamaa fraktsioonAI Summary
Urmas Reinsalu expresses deep concern regarding the government's proposed state budget strategy, which projects a historically large deficit of 4.5%. Drawing on the support of the Fiscal Council and employers, he warns of the danger of an uncontrolled financial situation and new tax increases, and demands a concrete plan from the Prime Minister detailing how the state intends to achieve the goal of long-term sustainability and deficit reduction in a short timeframe.
Urmas Reinsalu
Profiling Isamaa fraktsioonAI Summary
The speaker addresses the Prime Minister, raising the issue of the extreme seriousness of the government's proposed budget strategy, which places the country in a financially unmanageable situation. Referring to the warnings issued by the Fiscal Council, it is emphasized that the planned deficit, which consistently reaches 4.5 percent in the coming years, is unprecedented in the history of the Estonian state budget. Such an uncontrolled financial outlook brings with it uncertain risks of new tax hikes and the organization of a "tax festival," warnings about which have been issued by both the Estonian Employers' Confederation and other financial experts. The criticism also focuses on the lack of long-term sustainability and the government's uncertain approach. Although the government projects a long-term sustainable budget deficit level of –1%, it remains completely unclear how they intend to move from a deficit of four and a half percent to this lower level in just a few years. This contradiction undermines trust and deepens doubts regarding the country's financial future. In addition to the substantive criticism, the government is accused of avoiding responsibility, citing the Finance Minister's response that he does not intend to be in office at that time. The speaker demands a personal position and a concrete plan from the Prime Minister, as it is he who has set this fiscal policy trajectory. The Prime Minister must explain what methods the state is capable of using to reach a lower deficit and avoid an uncontrolled financial situation.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
Prime Minister Kristen Michal explained the state budget deficit, which stems from essential defense spending and crisis response necessitated by the aggression of the eastern neighbor, noting that while necessary expenditures have been covered by both tax increases and borrowing, the government plans to implement additional cuts and investment reviews in the coming years to bring the budget into balance, in order to gradually reduce the deficit, economically preferring cost cutting over increasing revenues.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
The speaker explained that the state budget deficit is largely driven by necessary defense spending, the increase of which is backed by the overwhelming majority in the Riigikogu (Estonian Parliament). This rise in spending is a direct response to the aggression of our eastern neighbor in Ukraine and the threat it poses to European Union and NATO member states. In the context of an acute crisis, it is financially logical to respond by taking out a loan to cover these increased expenditures, which are unavoidable at this time. To balance the budget, the government has considered both increasing revenues through taxation and cutting expenditures. Citing the position of the Fiscal Council, the speaker stressed that, from a macroeconomic perspective, cutting expenditures is preferable, even though the state has already introduced new revenue streams, such as the annual car tax to fund road construction and an increase in the VAT rate. Despite these measures, the budget remains in deficit. Salaries were only successfully raised in five priority sectors (police, rescue services, culture, education, and special care), while defense spending is set to increase to 5 percent of GDP. The budget deficit is projected to remain at 4.5 percent in the coming years, after which it is expected to start declining. Although Estonia leads the European Union in terms of public sector investments and investment reviews have already been conducted, additional measures are necessary to bring the budget back into balance. The government is preparing further cuts for both the upcoming year and the year after, in order to improve the budgetary situation.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
The text presented here is not a standalone speech; rather, it is a procedural remark made by the Chair of the Riigikogu session, intended to guide the subsequent discussion. The brief introduction, "Thank you very much!" signals the conclusion of the preceding speech and marks the transition to the question-and-answer round. Consequently, this specific passage contains no substantive political arguments or positions that could be summarized. The primary function of the text is to give the floor to a specific member of the Riigikogu, Urmas Reinsalu, who wishes to pose a clarifying question. This suggests that a substantive presentation or debate had taken place previously, the details of which require further explanation. The Chair's invitation, "Please!" is a polite and official directive that ensures adherence to parliamentary procedure and the smooth continuation of the discussion. In summary, this is merely a technical interlude confirming that the work of the parliament is proceeding according to the established rules. This passage emphasizes the formal structure of Riigikogu sessions, where presentations are always followed by opportunities to ask clarifying questions, ensuring maximum clarity regarding the topic under discussion.
Urmas Reinsalu
Profiling Isamaa fraktsioonAI Summary
The speaker sharply criticizes the government’s fiscal policy, questioning the ambition of the planned 3.5% GDP cut and the goal of reducing administrative expenses. He highlights the contradiction: while the government talks about "trimming the fat" from expenditures, the speaker actually sees administrative costs rising, projecting a budget of 1.9 billion euros by 2026. A key question is raised: why wait until after the state budget strategy period to reduce costs instead of implementing immediate, real-time cuts and reductions to prevent Estonia's fiscal policy from becoming unmanageable? Furthermore, the speaker accuses the government of misusing the European Commission’s defense expenditure exemption clause (1.5%). Although the necessity of defense spending is agreed upon, this exemption is being used with borrowed money to finance the Reform Party’s tax hump project. This is occurring while the budget deficit has climbed to 4.5%. The speaker stresses that this policy, implemented via borrowing—and criticized even by the head of the Fiscal Council—will inevitably lead to new tax hikes. Finally, an explanation is demanded regarding how the government plans to achieve the -1% deficit target if they cannot answer why they are failing to implement immediate cost reductions in practice.
Urmas Reinsalu
Profiling Isamaa fraktsioonAI Summary
Urmas Reinsalu is questioning the government's fiscal policy, sharply criticizing both the postponement of the promised 3.5% GDP cuts and the growth of administrative costs, as well as the utilization of national defense exceptions and borrowed funds to implement the Reform Party's tax hump project—a move that will drive the budget deficit to 4.5% and render the state's finances unmanageable—predicting new tax hikes, in line with the warnings issued by the Fiscal Council.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
The speaker began by clarifying their official title, confirming that they were still the Prime Minister, not the Minister of Finance. They then proceeded to defend the government's tax policy, focusing sharply on the issue of the so-called "tax hump." They emphasized that the authors of the flawed progressive income tax, or the tax hump, were historically the Centre Party, the Social Democrats, and Isamaa, specifically criticizing the latter as the creator of this system. The Prime Minister explained that this progressive income tax has caused major problems, forcing, for example, teachers and journalists to pay nearly one and a half thousand euros more in taxes. They confirmed that the government would abolish this tax hump, thereby solving a problem created by their predecessors. According to the speaker, the reduction in the tax burden is significant and clear: it is projected to fall from 36.6% this year to 35.2% next year. This means that an average wage earner (earning about 2,100 euros) will retain nearly 1,800 euros more next year, which is essentially equivalent to a 13th month's salary. In addition to the reduction in the tax burden, the government has managed to put the nation's finances in order and successfully push the deficit down, falling from a planned 3% to a projected level of around 1%. The Prime Minister highlighted that cuts totaling 1.4 billion euros have been implemented since the Kaja Kallas government took office, and further cuts are planned for the coming years through budget revisions. The only areas seeing growth are the priorities: defense spending and pensions.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
Prime Minister Kristen Michal, who reaffirmed his position as head of government, accused the opposition (Centre Party, SDE, Isamaa) of creating the so-called "tax hump" or flawed progressive income tax system. He promised to abolish it, which would result in a reduction of the tax burden (from 36.6% to 35.2%) and leave the average wage earner with nearly 1,800 euros more. Furthermore, he highlighted the government's successful deficit reduction and 1.4 billion euros worth of cuts, noting that only priority areas, such as defense spending and pensions, would see growth.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
The text provided is not a speech delivered in the Riigikogu (Estonian Parliament); rather, it is a brief procedural announcement granting the floor to the next speaker. Consequently, the text contains no substantive argumentation, political position, or thematic development that could be summarized. The announcement indicates that the Riigikogu session agenda has reached the point where colleague Mart Maastik is being given the opportunity to pose a supplementary question. This suggests that a debate or a question-and-answer session has already taken place, which Maastik’s question now follows. The summary is therefore limited solely to the fact that the session chair has granted Maastik permission to ask his question, thereby marking the transition to a new speaker. Compiling a substantive summary would require the content of the question posed by Maastik or the subsequent debate.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
Chairman Lauri Hussar thanked him and immediately gave the floor to his colleague Mart Maastik so he could ask a supplementary question.
Mart Maastik
Profiling Fraktsiooni mittekuuluvad Riigikogu liikmedAI Summary
A member of the Riigikogu raised a pointed question regarding a review study commissioned by the Ministry of Climate concerning the health effects of wind turbines, the cost of which amounted to 100,000 euros. The speaker criticized the government's fiscal policy, deeming such an expenditure highly unreasonable and disproportionate. The study’s objective was a systematic review of materials published in scientific journals over the last 15 years, a task which allegedly occupied six researchers from the University of Tartu for half a year. The MP stressed that he obtained the exact same answers to the research questions using ChatGPT in just one minute, thereby casting doubt on the volume and necessity of the researchers’ work. In his estimation, this was merely a simple summary readily available online, for which an unreasonably large sum of state money was spent. In addition to the lack of efficiency, the speaker also voiced concern over the impartiality of the study, suspecting that the work was done "from the client's material," meaning only studies deemed desirable by the ministry were taken into account. A clear comment was demanded from the Prime Minister on whether such a 100,000-euro expense for a simple literature review is consistent with the state’s responsible financial policy.
Mart Maastik
Profiling Fraktsiooni mittekuuluvad Riigikogu liikmedAI Summary
Mart Maastik has voiced sharp criticism aimed at the 100,000-euro review study on the health effects of wind turbines, which was commissioned by the Ministry of Climate. In his view, the findings were so straightforward that he obtained them from ChatGPT in just one minute, thereby questioning whether spending that kind of money on a simple summary of scientific literature constitutes responsible fiscal policy.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
Prime Minister Kristen Michal accuses the questioner of Isamaa’s drift towards extremism and attacking scientists, stressing that science should not be criticized simply because research findings (such as those on the health effects of wind turbines) are unfavorable. He advises seeking precise data directly from the study’s authors, rather than relying on ChatGPT or Googling, which do not reflect scientific consensus.
Peaminister Kristen Michal
AI Summary
The speaker began their response with a political observation, noting that they felt the questioner’s party (referencing the “EKRE-fication” of Isamaa) has taken aim at attacking scientists. They stressed that the results of scientific research should not be the target of attacks, even if politicians dislike them. The job of scientists is to gather facts and make them available to the public, especially concerning frequently asked topics, such as the health impacts of wind turbines. The speaker warned that attacking science is unacceptable simply because the study results do not meet expectations. They highlighted the danger of people drawing conclusions using simple tools like ChatGPT or Google search, noting that these conclusions often fail to align with scientific consensus. Therefore, the speaker emphasized that to get more precise information and details about the study, one must contact the institution where the research was conducted and commissioned directly, rather than attacking scientists for their work.
Esimees Lauri Hussar
AI Summary
The speech in question, delivered in the Riigikogu chamber, was brief and purely procedural, aimed at managing the sitting's agenda and maintaining order. It was not a substantive political address presenting arguments or viewpoints, but rather a notification from the presiding officer or the person responsible for procedure. The main purpose of the address was to announce that the current discussion had concluded and that Parliament would move on to the next items on the agenda. Specifically, the members of parliament were informed that the handling of the second question of today's sitting was being concluded. This marked a clear boundary between the end of one debate and the beginning of the next procedural stage. Such an announcement is a standard part of parliamentary procedure, ensuring that the sitting proceeds according to plan and that each agenda item receives its allotted time. Finally, a brief expression of thanks (Thank you very much!) was offered, which is a standard courtesy formula in the Riigikogu's rules of procedure. In summary, it was a notification concerning the management of the sitting and the administration of the agenda, confirming that the discussion on the topic had been exhausted and it was time to move forward.