Agenda Profile: Jaak Valge

Inquiry regarding the government's plans to increase immigration (no. 791)

2025-09-08

15th Riigikogu, 6th sitting, plenary session

Political Position
The political position is strongly opposed to the government's plans to increase mass immigration, stressing its detrimental effects on the nation-state and the economy. This stance is based both on values (changes in population composition, the constitution) and on policy (wage criteria, productivity). The government pursuing this policy is deemed illegitimate, as it lacks a popular mandate. The speaker demands the implementation of priorities, especially concerning top specialists.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
The speaker demonstrates a thorough understanding of immigration statistics (PPA data, family migration) and economic indicators. They utilize technical terminology such as productivity at constant prices and purchasing power parity, and cite specific sources (OECD, Tõetamm, Urmas Varblane’s presentation to the Riigikogu). Furthermore, they use census data to evaluate language proficiency levels and compare Estonia's migration pressure with that of other Baltic and Nordic countries.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The rhetorical style is sharp, data-driven, and forceful, highlighting the dangers of mass immigration to the nation-state and the economy. Both logical arguments (statistics, economic indicators) and emotional appeals (anti-nation-state sentiment, the decline in Estonian language proficiency) are employed. The speaker is direct, correcting the minister and criticizing the government's plans, while simultaneously addressing the audience directly ("Head Eesti mehed ja Eesti naised!").

3 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
The speaker is participating in a Riigikogu (Estonian Parliament) inquiry and refers to the regular collection of data from the PPA (Police and Border Guard Board) and other sources. Mention is made of previous and repeated analyses of Latvian and Finnish data, which points to the continuous study of the topic.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The main opponents are the government and the minister, whose immigration policy is widely viewed as harmful and incompetent. The criticism is intense, accusing the government of irreversibly altering the demographic composition of the population and acting without a proper mandate. Social Democrats also face criticism; while they are credited with taking a deeper look at the issue, they are simultaneously being pressed to provide an even more thorough analysis.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
The speaker commends the Social Democrats for their engagement with the issue, but simultaneously demands that they delve even deeper and suggests they change their economic policy mindset. There is no mention of direct cooperation or willingness to compromise with the government; instead, the focus is placed on emphasizing the illegality of the government's actions.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is heavily on the national level (interests of the nation-state, Estonian language proficiency, the average Estonian wage). A significant portion of the rhetoric relies on international comparison, highlighting Estonia's immigration rate compared to Latvia, Finland, and Lithuania, as well as productivity comparisons with the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Poland.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
Economic perspectives are aimed at boosting productivity and competitiveness, necessitating higher value-added and smarter jobs. There is opposition to the introduction of low-wage foreign labor (the 1.0 criterion), as this stagnates wage growth and is associated with a drop in productivity (from 84% to 78% of the EU average). Support is given to implementing the criterion requiring 1.5 times the average wage.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
The central social theme is mass immigration, which is framed as a threat to the nation-state and the constitution. The failure of integration is measured by the drop in proficiency levels of the state language, with the government being accused of building a "non-Estonian-speaking Estonia." It is emphasized that society does not want immigration on such a large scale.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The legislative focus centers on restricting immigration, specifically by raising the salary criterion for residence permits (from 1.0 to 1.5 times the Estonian average) and opposing sector-specific exemptions. The speaker is a staunch opponent of the government's plans to increase immigration, primarily criticizing the ineffectiveness of current legislation (specifically, the criteria for top specialists).

3 Speeches Analyzed