Agenda Profile: Urmas Reinsalu

First reading of the Draft Act on the Amendment of the Act on Simplified Taxation of Business Income and the Income Tax Act, and the Act on the Repeal of the Security Tax Act and the Amendment of the Income Tax Act (Bill 734 SE)

2025-10-13

15th Riigikogu, 6th Session, Plenary Sitting

Political Position
The political stance is strongly oppositional towards the government's fiscal policy, criticizing its sheer ineptitude and the constant, jerky changes in tax policy that undermine economic confidence. The main issues highlighted are the chaos in tax administration and the uncontrolled budget deficit, which has ballooned to 4.5%. While the abolition of the security tax is supported, it is viewed merely as an admission of the government's political agony and proof of its earlier dishonesty. The criticism is primarily aimed at the government's weak economic performance and the resulting loss of public trust.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
The speaker demonstrates strong expertise in macroeconomics, fiscal policy, and international finance, utilizing technical terminology such as balance of payments, net position, and budget deficit. He relies on World Bank data and the Ministry of Finance's long-term forecasts, emphasizing specific quantitative indicators, such as the negative net position of foreign investments totaling 3.5 billion euros. He is capable of comparing Estonia's figures with those of other Baltic Sea countries and the global level.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The rhetorical style is sharply critical, accusatory, and forceful, employing strong and emotionally charged phrases such as "bungling," "falsified," and "political agony." The speaker combines logical, data-driven argumentation (e.g., a 4.5% deficit) with personal attacks, accusing the Minister of Finance of being anxious and overly emotional. He/She uses dramatic comparisons, for instance, equating Estonia's foreign investment situation with the level seen in Iraq.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
The pattern of activity is connected to the debate during the first reading of a specific draft bill (734 SE) in the Riigikogu, encompassing direct questioning of the Minister of Finance and responses to other members of parliament (Mr. Ligi). There is no information available concerning the frequency of appearances, routine activities, or travel outside of parliamentary work.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The main opponents are the governing coalition and the Reform Party, represented by Mr. Michal, Mr. Ligi, and Kaja Kallas. The criticism is intense and targets both political failures (tax chaos, messing up the budget) and the loss of trust, given that the government has radically altered the backbone of the basic tax system. The speaker emphasizes that there is an alternative to the current government and demands a fundamental correction of policy.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
The style of engagement is confrontational towards the government, emphasizing the party's (Isamaa) previous warnings regarding alternatives to tax hikes. There are no indications of a willingness to compromise or a search for cross-party cooperation, as the current situation is viewed as a crisis that the government has rendered unmanageable.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is placed on the national level (the Estonian economy and financial policy) and on international comparisons regarding competitiveness. Particular emphasis is given to Estonia's negative foreign investment position compared to other EU countries bordering the Baltic Sea, such as Lithuania.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
Economic outlooks emphasize the urgent need to restore economic confidence, fiscal sustainability, and productivity. The speaker opposes new tax increases and inflation-fueling regulatory measures that undermine international competitiveness. He deems the 4.5% budget deficit irresponsible, noting that it effectively programs in new tax hikes, and calls for signals to investors that support the recovery of domestic demand.

3 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
Not enough data

3 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The legislative focus is centered on opposing the government's financial policy and budget strategy, specifically concerning Draft Bill 734 SE (the repeal of the security tax). The speaker is a strong adversary of the budget outlook proposed by the government—namely, the continuation of the deficit until 2070—and demands the restoration of control over expenditures from a strategic viewpoint.

3 Speeches Analyzed