AI Profiling: Aivar Kokk

The speaker consistently champions the strongly oppositional views of the Isamaa Party, focusing primarily on the categorical rejection of tax hikes—especially the car tax, the income tax exemption for high earners, and income tax levied on pensioners. His political stance is distinctly left-leaning on socio-economic matters, consistently defending vulnerable societal groups (pensioners, families, rural communities) while simultaneously supporting business-friendly policies through tax cuts. In energy policy, he adopts a conservative position, strongly advocating for the preservation of oil shale energy and criticizing the government's renewable energy policy from an energy security standpoint. Throughout this period, he employs emotional and confrontational rhetoric, accusing the government of "deception" and "lying," and frames himself as the defender of the people's interests against the elite.

The speaker consistently demonstrates profound expertise across three core areas: energy (specifically oil shale energy, the operation of the electricity market, and CO2 quotas), the state budget, and tax policy, continually employing concrete figures, technical data, and legal references. His authority stems from practical experience as an entrepreneur since 1991, a former county governor, and chairman of the finance committee, which he frequently cites to bolster his arguments. His competence is especially robust in the technical aspects of energy economics, where he freely operates with precise metrics for megawatt-hours, production costs (prime costs), and capacities, as well as in analyzing the intricacies of budgetary processes and the tax system.

The politician’s rhetoric is consistently emotional and confrontational, regularly employing sharp phrases like "madness," "nightmare," and direct accusations of lying aimed at the government. He skillfully blends fact-based arguments and specific figures with emotionally charged language, often drawing on personal experiences as a local government leader and using colloquialisms when explaining complex issues. The rhetoric is consistently populist, emphasizing the concerns of "ordinary people" and utilizing rhetorical questions and direct challenges to ministers, while the style remains combative and sarcastic throughout the entire period. There is a noticeable tendency to dramatize situations and use irony, all while maintaining a constructive approach when offering alternatives.

The speaker demonstrates consistent and intensive activity in the work of the Riigikogu, regularly participating in both plenary sessions and the work of committees (especially the Finance Committee) throughout all observed periods. His/Her pattern of activity is characterized by the systematic submission of questions to ministers, detailed monitoring of legislative processes, and active participation in discussions concerning budget and tax issues. In addition to parliamentary activity, he/she regularly participates in the work of the Council of the Bank of Estonia and maintains contact with local governments, demonstrating versatile political activity at both the national and regional levels. The frequency and consistency of his/her contributions show a professional and systematic approach to the duties of a parliamentarian.

The speaker consistently voices sharp and uncompromising opposition to the entire governing coalition, primarily focusing on criticizing the Reform Party, the Social Democrats, and Eesti 200. The criticism is systematically both policy-focused (tax policy, energy, economy) and personal, repeatedly accusing ministers of lying, breaking electoral promises, and lacking competence. The opposition's position is principled, and no willingness to compromise is demonstrated, especially concerning tax hikes and energy policy, with the intensity of the criticism remaining high throughout the observed period. Systemic flaws in government policy are highlighted, and resignations and a complete change of policy are repeatedly demanded.

The speaker's cooperation style is selectively constructive—he consistently demonstrates a willingness for technical cooperation in committees and regularly acknowledges the professionalism of colleagues across party lines, specifically praising Mart Võrklaev and other officials. However, he is fundamentally uncompromising on core issues such as tax increases, maintaining a confrontational stance toward the current coalition and nostalgically referencing the previous Isamaa-Centre Party-EKRE cooperation of 2019–2020. His readiness to cooperate is primarily evident in regional interests and technical solutions, but not in ideological matters, though an increasing openness to individual recognition and dialogue has been observed over time.

The speaker demonstrates a consistent and strong focus on the interests of rural areas, particularly addressing the issues facing Jõgevamaa and wider Eastern Estonia. Their regional focus is clearly aimed at reducing the urban-rural divide, constantly emphasizing the distinct needs of rural areas concerning transport, infrastructure, and economic development. The speaker regularly employs specific local examples (Jõgeva municipality, Kastre, Võru, Pärnu) to illustrate the impact of nationwide policy decisions, while consistently criticizing Tallinn-centric solutions. Their approach reveals a deep understanding of regional specificities, underscoring the necessity for policies that genuinely account for the diversity of all of Estonia.

The politician consistently adheres to a liberal economic philosophy, strongly advocating for tax cuts, reduced government spending, and pro-business policies throughout the entire period under review. His core position is that "money is generated solely through enterprise" and "no country has been made wealthy by taxation," which is why he steadfastly opposes all tax hikes and demands reduced bureaucracy and cuts to public sector expenditures. The politician continuously stresses the necessity of maintaining competitiveness, supporting cheaper energy, promoting local production, and ensuring planning certainty for entrepreneurs through stable tax policy. His economic views are clearly centered on business interests, criticizing redistributive tax policy and emphasizing the application of free-market principles across all sectors, including energy.

The politician focuses on social issues primarily by protecting economically vulnerable groups—championing the interests of pensioners, large families, and people with disabilities, while consistently criticizing cuts to their benefits and increases in the tax burden. He avoids traditional social topics (LGBTQ+ rights, abortion) but clearly supports restricting the voting rights of Russian and Belarusian citizens on security grounds. In healthcare, he emphasizes the importance of preventative work and personal responsibility; in education, he supports free higher education and the state gymnasium system. His approach is pragmatic and family-centric, stressing social justice and the protection of "the weakest" over ideological stances.

The speaker consistently focuses on tax and budgetary legislation, operating as the main opposition force against the government’s tax hikes—specifically regarding the car tax, land tax, and motor vehicle tax. He/She actively operates as a legislative initiator, regularly submitting bills aimed at abolishing taxes, increasing state budget transparency, and protecting the rights of local municipalities. In addition to taxation, he/she systematically addresses legislation concerning energy, transport, and regional policy, stressing the necessity for more comprehensive analysis when evaluating the impact of laws. His/Her legislative style is consistently oppositional, employing tactics such as motions to reject bills, posing detailed questions to ministers, and submitting amendments to halt government initiatives.