Agenda Profile: Toomas Kivimägi

First Reading of the 2026 State Budget Bill (737 SE)

2025-10-07

The 15th Riigikogu, 6th Session, Plenary Sitting

Political Position
The political position centers on explaining and justifying the 4.5% deficit in the 2026 state budget. The speaker strongly emphasizes that the primary cause of the deficit is the increase in defense expenditures by over 800 million euros, which is a strategic and politically supported priority. This position is heavily policy- and results-based, aiming to demonstrate that the deficit is a direct consequence of strengthening defense capabilities.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
The speaker demonstrates expertise regarding the state budget and macroeconomic indicators, using precise figures (a 4.5% deficit, 800 million euros) and relating them to GDP percentages. He/She employs statistical reasoning when dissecting the components of the budget deficit, performing on-the-spot calculations concerning the size of the deficit without factoring in the increase in defense expenditures.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The rhetorical style is analytical and data-driven, focusing on logical argumentation and mathematical relationships. The speaker attempts to correct the public narrative by presenting fact-based calculations to neutralize opponents' criticism regarding the size of the deficit. The tone is formal and concludes with a direct question regarding the accuracy of their calculation.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
There is not enough data.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The confrontation is aimed at "opponents," who are criticized for either forgetting or failing to account for the effect that increased defense spending has on the size of the budget deficit. The criticism is both policy- and fact-based, accusing the adversaries of presenting an incomplete picture.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
There is not enough data.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is exclusively at the national level, addressing macroeconomic indicators and the overall structure of the state budget, particularly the share of defense expenditures.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
Economic views support substantial state spending on strategic priorities, such as defense expenditures, even if it results in a significant budget deficit (4.5%). The speaker clarifies that the increase in defense spending (over 800 million) is the primary driver of the deficit, thus security takes priority over fiscal discipline.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
There is not enough data.

1 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The legislative focus centers on the draft 2026 State Budget Act (737 SE), in which the speaker serves as a proponent or clarifier. The primary priority is justifying the increase in defense expenditures (over 800 million euros) and explaining its impact on the budget deficit.

1 Speeches Analyzed