Agenda Profile: Aleksandr Tšaplõgin

Third reading of the draft law on the 2025 state budget (513 SE)

2024-12-11

15th Riigikogu, 4th session, plenary session

Political Position
The speaker is strongly opposed to the government's fiscal policy and the fundamental principles used in drafting the 2025 budget. The main issues raised are the negative impact of increasing the tax burden on the economy and the dubious economic growth forecast underpinning the budget. This stance is outcome-oriented, focusing specifically on the potential failure of the government's economic assumptions.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
The speaker demonstrates knowledge in the fields of macroeconomics, fiscal policy, and banking. Specific data is utilized (a 0.7% rise in the tax burden, 900 million euros in revenue), and complex topics are addressed, such as the dynamics of tax collection and the repatriation of foreign banks' profits from Estonia. He/She also cites the opinions of experts and businessmen to support his/her skeptical stance.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The speaker's tone is critical, skeptical, and self-assured, especially when correcting the presenter on the topic of banking. The style is formal, relying on logical argumentation and rhetorical questions to challenge the government's assumptions. Economic and technical counterarguments are used instead of emotional appeals.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
There is not enough data.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The main opponent is the government and the Ministry of Finance, which are being criticized for the draft budget and the underlying forecasts. The criticism is twofold: policy-based (tax increases) and technical (the use of questionable forecasts), thereby calling the ministry's credibility into question. The speaker directly corrects the presenter, demonstrating intense opposition.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
There is not enough data.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is on the national level, addressing budget decisions that impact the Estonian economy, businesses, and the population. The international aspect is also brought up, specifically regarding Scandinavian banks operating in Estonia that repatriate their profits out of the country.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
The speaker is critical of hiking the tax burden, fearing its negative impact on production and consumption, which could actually reduce tax revenue. They emphasize the necessity of reliable economic forecasts and criticize the actions of foreign banks for failing to support Estonian companies and people.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
There is insufficient data.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The main legislative focus is on the draft State Budget Act for 2025 (513 SE). The speaker acts as a strong opponent, calling into question the economic assumptions underlying the bill and the projected outcomes.

2 Speeches Analyzed