Agenda Profile: Tõnis Lukas

Bringing in foreign labor

2025-05-07

15th Riigikogu, 5th sitting, information briefing

Political Position
The political platform centers on opposing quotas for the introduction of foreign labor and halting the import of cheap labor, arguing that it drives down wages and forces Estonians to emigrate. The policy is strongly value-based, emphasizing the critical importance of demographic and birth rate policies in ensuring the nation's sustainability. They welcome the government’s apparent abandonment of its plan to increase the immigration cap, claiming the reversal was a result of their pressure.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
The speaker demonstrates profound expertise in labor market regulations, citing the immigration quota, 13 exemptions, and the 1.5-times average salary coefficient applied to top specialists. Concrete data is utilized (such as 80,000 employees who do not meet language requirements and the wage level in Harju County), and the economic links between salary levels and emigration are analyzed. Furthermore, there is knowledge regarding how well the education system and vocational training align with the labor market.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The rhetorical style is formal, critical, and deeply concerned, highlighting the long-term negative consequences that the introduction of cheap labor poses to societal sustainability. It employs logical argumentation and clear cause-and-effect relationships (cheap labor leads to depressed wages, which in turn fuels out-migration). The tone is demanding toward the government, pressing for concrete plans and criticizing the past trivialization of population policy.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
The patterns of activity are limited to questions posed to the minister in the Riigikogu concerning the importation of labor and changes to the quota. Both discussions took place on the same date, focusing on clarifying the government’s plans and intentions.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The confrontation is directed at the policies of the government and the Ministry of Economic Affairs, which had previously advocated for increasing the immigration quota and establishing new exceptions. The criticism is policy-driven, accusing the government of neglecting population policy and making decisions detrimental to the sustainability of society. It is alleged that the government dropped its plan to increase the quota due to pressure from the opposition (Isamaa).

2 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
The cooperation approach emphasizes the role of their party (Isamaa) in actively raising issues concerning population and birth rate policies. Satisfaction is expressed that the government has begun to grasp the importance of these issues, which suggests a certain degree of success for the political pressure applied. Direct collaboration with the government is not mentioned; instead, the emphasis is placed on exerting pressure.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is primarily national (covering the Estonian labor market, birth rate policy, and integration), addressing these problems nationwide. Harju County is used as a regional example to illustrate the high salary levels commanded by specialists and the specific region where specialists are typically recruited or brought in.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
Economic views are focused on protecting domestic labor and wage levels, opposing the importation of cheap labor, which undercuts wages and forces Estonians to emigrate. Economic sustainability is supported through increasing the birth rate and utilizing existing exceptions to bring in highly paid top specialists. Criticism regarding the mismatch between the education system and the labor market is often considered exaggerated.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
When discussing social issues, immigration and integration take center stage. There is strong opposition to bringing in labor from third countries, arguing that this leads to the introduction and permanent settlement of families that cannot be integrated. It is stressed that Estonia already has 80,000 workers who fail to meet the required language standards, making the integration of any new workers impossible.

2 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The legislative focus is centered on defending the immigration quota and the system of exceptions, opposing government plans to modify the quota or introduce new exceptions (such as for skilled workers). The speaker supports the current system of 13 exceptions, believing it offers sufficient opportunities for bringing in highly qualified specialists.

2 Speeches Analyzed