Agenda Profile: Mart Helme

Draft resolution "Establishment of a working group to address the population crisis" (324 OE) – first reading

2024-10-09

Fifteenth Riigikogu, Fourth Session, Plenary Session.

Political Position
The political platform centers on resolving the demographic crisis, viewing it as a critically important, values-driven priority for the preservation of the nation-state. We strongly support the formation of a special committee to ensure scientific analysis and achieve cross-party consensus. The focus for resolving the crisis is directed toward supporting the birth rate and controlling immigration, contrasting sharply with the government's alleged plan to solve the crisis solely through migration.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Topic Expertise
It demonstrates a profound awareness of demographic processes, referencing the late scholar Kalev Katus. It strongly emphasizes the necessity of scientific analysis, statistics, and long-term data for understanding population processes (natural increase, immigration, emigration, employment). It clearly distinguishes between the concepts of "population" and "nation," although his subsequent argumentation tends to favor the protection of the nation.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Rhetorical Style
The speaker’s style is insistent and emotional, warning of the imminent collapse of the nation-state, using the figure of speech that "the rubber is about to snap." At the same time, the need for scientific analysis, statistics, and long-term data in shaping policy is emphasized, referencing the demographer Kalev Katus. The tone is initially consensual (the topic is cross-party), but it shifts to become sharply confrontational and accusatory toward the coalition.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Activity Patterns
The data is limited to speeches delivered in the Riigikogu chamber, focusing specifically on the first reading of a particular draft bill (the formation of an ad hoc committee for specific issues). The speaker actively participates in the debate, posing questions and elaborating on their views through extended remarks. There are no references to other public appearances or established communication patterns.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Opposition Stance
The primary adversaries are the ruling coalition parties, particularly the Reform Party, which stands accused of ignoring the demographic crisis and attempting to resolve it solely through immigration. The criticism leveled is harsh and policy-driven, citing the coalition's refusal to back the establishment of a special investigative committee and their "capitulation" to the Western European model. The possibility of compromise is doubtful, given that the speaker questions the sincerity of the coalition.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Collaboration Style
The speaker strongly emphasizes the urgent need for cross-party consensus in solving the demographic crisis, similar to how national defense issues are handled, labeling this a "nationwide undertaking." At the same time, deep skepticism and pessimism are expressed regarding the governing coalition's actual willingness to cooperate in supporting the draft legislation. The goal of this cooperation is to bring political forces and scientists "under one umbrella."

4 Speeches Analyzed
Regional Focus
The focus is clearly national and international, centering on the preservation of the Estonian nation-state, the future of the Estonian language, and demographic processes. Western European countries are cited as a negative example, having essentially capitulated to population problems. Regional or local issues are absent.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Economic Views
Economic perspectives are subordinated to solving the population crisis; it is emphasized that immigration will not solve demographic problems, even if it were to solve labor shortages. The cost of establishing the commission is considered negligible ("pocket change," "a drop in the bucket") compared to the strategic importance of preserving the nation-state. The role of the Riigikogu in planning the state budget to support families is emphasized.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Social Issues
Social policy focuses on demographic processes and the birth rate, emphasizing the need to scientifically analyze the impact of financial support on natality. Immigration (Ukrainians, Bangladeshis, Hindus) is treated as a major threat to the preservation of the nation-state and the Estonian language. It is emphasized that Estonia must continue as an enduring state, created on a national basis.

4 Speeches Analyzed
Legislative Focus
The legislative focus centers on initiating and supporting the draft resolution for establishing the special committee (the Ad Hoc Committee on Resolving the Demographic Crisis). The objective is to create a mechanism that allows the Riigikogu to shape policy based on scientific analysis and participate in state budget planning, thereby preventing the government from making unilateral decisions.

4 Speeches Analyzed